Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.121348 0.142570 0.165994 0.193706 0.225537 0.260893 0.303072
2025-11-16 0.083433 0.111049 0.145003 0.189538 0.246098 0.315187 0.405585
2025-11-23 0.061658 0.090265 0.128421 0.182439 0.256235 0.352708 0.487387
2025-11-30 0.053065 0.083852 0.127659 0.193501 0.288666 0.419675 0.611721
2025-12-07 0.042452 0.072071 0.116834 0.187920 0.296067 0.452036 0.690832
2025-12-14 0.034346 0.062334 0.107047 0.181716 0.300691 0.479558 0.764176
2025-12-21 0.028428 0.054914 0.099469 0.177385 0.306872 0.508972 0.841843
2025-12-28 0.024979 0.051040 0.096950 0.180589 0.324818 0.557399 0.952079
2026-01-04 0.022614 0.048669 0.096552 0.187095 0.348528 0.616587 1.083734
2026-01-11 0.020267 0.045886 0.094944 0.191096 0.368091 0.670278 1.210314
2026-01-18 0.018000 0.042839 0.092358 0.192853 0.383628 0.718145 1.330466
2026-01-25 0.015704 0.039302 0.088276 0.191166 0.392506 0.754897 1.433935
2026-02-01 0.013501 0.035611 0.083456 0.187624 0.397903 0.786587 1.532351
2026-02-08 0.011648 0.032375 0.079120 0.184525 0.403848 0.819837 1.636441
2026-02-15 0.009799 0.028757 0.073378 0.177667 0.401464 0.837151 1.712311
2026-02-22 0.009399 0.028732 0.075711 0.188474 0.436019 0.927243 1.930671
2026-03-01 0.008038 0.025879 0.071013 0.183024 0.435991 0.950025 2.022065
2026-03-08 0.006843 0.023217 0.066338 0.176966 0.433903 0.968315 2.105709
2026-03-15 0.005910 0.021092 0.062659 0.172738 0.435293 0.993559 2.204645
2026-03-22 0.005420 0.020204 0.062042 0.175866 0.453515 1.054899 2.380556
2026-03-29 0.005106 0.019809 0.062688 0.182219 0.479740 1.134946 2.600025
2026-04-05 0.004727 0.019112 0.062397 0.186125 0.500542 1.204789 2.802609
2026-04-12 0.004309 0.018191 0.061326 0.187841 0.516213 1.264501 2.987469